James Picerno

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Finance/Investment/Economics writer

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CapitalSpectator.com is a finance/investment/economics blog that’s edited by James Picerno. The site’s focus is macroeconomics, the business cycle and portfolio strategy (with an emphasis on asset allocation and related analytics).

CapitalSpectator.com, which has been published since 2005, has been quoted by a range of news organizations, including The Wall Street Journal, Reuters and others. 

In late-2009, the Eastern Economics Journal named Picerno as one of the nation’s “top economics bloggers”.

Picerno is the author of Dynamic Asset Allocation: Modern Portfolio Theory Updated for the Smart Investor (Bloomberg Press, 2010) and Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks (Beta Publishing, 2014). He’s currently working on a new book about portfolio analytics using R, a statistical computer language. His articles on finance and economics have appeared in a variety of publications and news outlets over the years, including The Atlantic, Financial Advisor, BankRate.com, HorsesMouth.com, and Bloomberg Briefs: Economics, and the Saxo Group’s TradingFloor.com. In addition, Picerno publishes The US Business Cycle Risk Report, a weekly newsletter that quantitatively evaluates US recession risk in real time.

Picerno has been writing about investing and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst in 2008. He also offers consulting services on asset allocation and portfolio strategy, the US business cycle, and related analytics in R and Excel.