The commodity complex has been caught in a decline for the past several years.
Now that doesn’t mean that there haven’t been trading opportunities in select commodities during that time.
However, when indexes like the Thomson Reuters Equal Weight Commodity Index have been in a bear market for nearly a decade, it means that traders need to pick their spots (and timeframes).
In today’s chart, we look at the state of the current downtrend (1) on the TR Equal Weight Commodity Index.
As you can see, this broad commodities index is testing both support and resistance at the same time. Price is being squeezed by a wedge pattern made up of 2 year lateral support (3) and the downtrend resistance line (2).
To break out of this 9-year falling channel, the commodities index would need to rally past (2). However, should support at (3) break, it would likely mean another sell off in the index (and commodities prices).