As The Stock Market Makes A Comeback, The Bond Market Flashes...

Stocks are weathering the latest bouts of increasing trade war fears, but the bond market is pointing to more trouble ahead. The S&P 500 is up 1% since a massive sell-off...

Make this Trade on Silver for 18.6% Returns That Are Almost...

Tensions over the trade war with China have become a daily part of the financial news. But, new “developments” in the standoff can still lead to market volatility and...

Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthens Slide In Treasury Yields

Maybe it’s a reaction to the recent escalation in the US-China trade conflict. Or perhaps the crowd is turning more cautious because of the runup in global equity markets...

China’s ‘Self-Destructive Nuclear Option’ in Trade War: Selling US Treasury Bonds

Consider it China’s nuclear option in the trade war with the U.S. — the ability to start dumping its massive pile of Treasury bonds that could trigger a surge...

Something That Everyone Knows Isn’t Worth Anything…

The pendulum of the mind alternates between sense and nonsense. ~ Carl Jung Politics is a pendulum whose swings between anarchy and tyranny are fueled by perennially rejuvenated illusions. ~...

Trade Fears Strengthen US Bond Market’s 2019 Rally

US fixed income was already on a roll this year, but this week’s renewed concerns about the US-China trade battle have strengthened the bull market in bonds as a...

Junk Bonds Continue To Lead US Fixed-Income Rally In 2019

Bloomberg’s Nir Kaissar is no fan of high-yield bonds. He warns that this slice of fixed income “is likely to be a drag on growth” for the risk portion...

Is Now the Time to Move to Bonds?

We concluded holding top-rated bonds is OK – individually, not in a publicly traded fund. Fund managers, chasing high returns, take risks I’m not comfortable with. If bonds are...

Junk And Long-Term Corporates Top 2019’s US Bond Market Rally

With the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike plans on hold for the foreseeable future, US fixed-income markets continue to rally. Leading the across-the-board gains for bonds this year by wide margins:...

Junk Bonds Experiencing Bullish Divergence With Stocks Of Late!

Are junk bonds sending a rare bullish message to stocks of late? They are giving it a try! This chart compares Pimco Junk Bond Fund (PHDAX) with the S&P 500...

The 10-Year Yield May Be Heading Even Lower, How About 2%

S&P 500 (SPY) The S&P 500 had a hard day, but if you watched things closely enough, you can’t help but think this is a stock market that wants to...

Bond Market Corrects Fed

Last week stocks shuddered as ten year yields dipped below treasury bills, reminding investors that yield curve inversions eerily precede recessions. A St. Louis Fed model using the yield...